And Sometimes Things Just Go Wrong…
Posted by orangequant on January 31, 2007
Took my first loss too last week. I’m still up 34.09% on initial bank, but here’s what happened. On wednesday january 24th i got into JRCC at $6.30 on technicals that looked ‘decent’. It never hit my target. I got out next day with a small loss at $6.21.
I had several opportunities both days to exit at $6.54, but just wouldn’t believe all that testing of $6.54 and failing to break it meant anything. I just read scmfinance’s latest post and I made the same basic mistakes. After testing and failing to break thru a price a couple times, it’s time to bail. This is NOT an ‘investment’ game we’re playing- it’s a gain and frequency game.
Partly, I got all tangled up in and deceived by fundamentals on JRCC. It’s a low-suplhur coal company and low-sulphur coal is highly prized. blah, blah, blah. Read the charts, orange- just the charts!! But i have to say that knowing that little bit about JRCC was often a comfort, as it suggested that hard dips would be unlikely. The fact that tuesday it finally went up almost to my 10% target means nothing to me, as the important thing to me here is simply “fast in and fast out”.
scmfinance said
i’d like to say that great minds think alike orangequant, but i don’t know if that’s the right “g” word i’m looking for in this case — i think greedy would be a better choice
orangequant said
Scmfinance, i think i would have to aGREE(D) LOL.